Realistic expectations of each of the top 4 QB's in 2018 Draft.
In this article we will look at each of the projected top 6 QB's in the upcoming 2018 NFL Draft. We will analyze there play and how it could translate to the NFL.
- Sam Darnold (USC) Comparison: Andrew Luck. (Without the injuries)
Darnold in my opinion is not ready for the NFL right away. Just looking at his development, I thought he would benefit from staying one more year at USC and correct some of his issues. He is prone to turn the ball over. Not only throwing interceptions but with fumbling issues as well. For every 2 touchdowns he threw last year, he threw an interception. Given all of that, there is no doubt in my mind that Darnold will succeed in the NFL because all of his issues are easy to fix and he is only a year or two away from being a complete QB. He is a true winner and has the "it" factor. He thrives under pressure and is clutch. He had a good completion rate in college at just above 63%. He has an NFL QB body, stature and is very mature. To reiterate, Darnold is still raw and is not the most "NFL ready" QB in the draft. But definitely has the tools to finish his career as the most successful QB in this draft class. If Cleveland makes the right decision and drafts Darnold 1st, They would have found there franchise QB of the future and the Browns could be the team to beat in the AFC North in a couple of years.
- Josh Rosen (UCLA) Comparison: A better Jared Goff
Rosen in my opinion is the most NFL ready QB in this draft. Don't get me wrong, Rosen still has flaws and things to work on. That being said. Rosen outplayed the projected #1 pick Darnold last year. and when you watch Rosen play, you can tell right away that this is a NFL QB. So he passes the eye test. He processes defensive schemes quickly, He has very good mechanics, a good arm and is a very intelligent player. His flaw is that he can be inconsistent, but its not that he cant make certain throws. Its just that his confidence gets the best of him and will make dumb throws through super tight windows and it ends up getting tipped incomplete or intercepted. To his credit, his supporting cast at UCLA was not the best. I truly believe if he was on a team like USC, he would have won the National Championship, and would be the run-away #1 pick in this draft. Rosen can be a NFL starter day 1. That doesn't mean he doesn't need to grow and work on some of his flaws. If he gets drafted by your team, don't give up on him after a year or two. Especially if he joins a team with not many pieces around Rosen to compliment his skills.
- Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma) Comparison: Less athletic Russell Wilson.
Mayfield is the reigning Heisman winner and when you compare all these QB's by just statistics. Mayfield would be far and away the clear #1 pick. He threw for just over a 70% completion rate and threw 43 Touchdowns and only 6 interceptions last year. As for his "antics", I really don't have any problems with them. He is young and very competitive so i'm not worried at all. He does get over competitive sometimes but that's okay. You can say the only flaw he will never get over... is his height. I know, there are many short QB's that are successful in the NFL. Historically though, they don't work out. I'm not saying he isn't going to work out but it is something to note. I think the perfect situation to happen to Baker is being drafted by a dome team but could be unlikely, as the teams most needy for a QB are northern outdoor teams. Baker is definitely good enough to be drafted #1.
- Josh Allen (Wyoming) Comparison: Less mobile Cam Newton.
Josh Allen is the biggest risk of all the QB's in my opinion. Huge arm. HUGE. He is very good moving inside and outside the pocket but his biggest flaw is the most important of all for a QB... Accuracy. He is not a accurate passer at all. He threw for 56% at Wyoming...against below averages teams. He threw only 16 touchdowns... just 16. In the NFL, that averages out to one per game. Is that even backup material? Now there are some QB's that had bad completion percentages in college as well that worked out perfectly fine. For instance: Brett Farve had a 53% completion percentage in college but went off to have a hall of fame career in the NFL. To me its to big of a risk to draft him. I will gladly take the other 3 QB's over him and may not even think about drafting Allen unless its in the 3rd round. I get it, his arm is special but he isnt worth the risk to me.